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Action for Economic Reforms

OOPS, THEY DID IT AGAIN

Since I began teaching in De La Salle University in 1998, it seems that every year some portion or other of that stretch of Quirino Avenue (in Manila) between Zamora Street and Taft Avenue has had to be repaired. Each time such a road works project is undertaken, untold grief and suffering are inflicted on those of us unfortunate commuters who have to use the thoroughfare on a regular basis. Our agonies include, among others, the emotional distress of having to navigate through even more traffic congestion, greater guilt from using fuel more wastefully and emitting more pollution (if one is an environmentalist), longer commuting time, higher gasoline expenses (if using a private vehicle) or higher transport fares (if using a cab), and having to adjust our schedules to avoid or minimize the pain of all of the above.


During those weeks or months when road construction is ongoing, each

time I hit Quirino Avenue and become one of the snarling mass of

slow-moving vehicles on it, the question that inevitably rises out of

my guts in between prayerful ejaculations (not curses, mind you) for

politicians (whose CDFs fund the infrastructure project), DPWH

bureaucrats, and contractors’ is WHY THE ANNUAL RESTORATION OF

VIRTUALLY THE SAME PATCH OF REAL ESTATE?

To be fair, consider first the answers that attach blame on vaguely

defined constituencies: (a) Far too many cars use the Avenue and (b)

Trucks that ply Quirino usually exceed the street’s weight tolerance

limit.


The first reason is an illustration of what economists with their

patently dismal perspective call the “tragedy of the commons.” It is a

parable of how socially adverse individual actions, which may seem not

to matter much as individual actions, can, by the cumulative effect of

sheer numbers, lead to a negative social outcome of no mean proportions.


As applied to the case at hand, the story may go: Consider that Quirino

Avenue is a common resource for Metro Manila car owners and taxicab

passengers. Obviously, the use of the road yields benefits to those who

traverse it. (Otherwise, they would take a different route or not

commute altogether.) But the value of the benefits from taking Quirino

may be cast as a declining function of the number of road users,

because of the misery caused by traffic congestion. In other words, the

more cars there are on Quirino at the time of the commute, the greater

the misery of and the lower the benefits gained by the commuters.

Given these circumstances, how many cars would ply Quirino? Far more

than is socially optimal. The reason for this is that, in choosing to

traverse Quirino, each road user fails to take into account his perhaps

infinitesimal contribution to traffic congestion. But the collective

effect of these inadvertent decisions is exactly what the commuters

failed to consider: far more cars on Quirino than they bargained for.

Which in turn leads to a more rapid deterioration of the road quality

of the Avenue.


The second reason, on the other hand, is a case of a “negative

externality.” An externality, which may be positive or negative, is a

non-market mediated effect that an action of an economic agent has on

others. In other words, other people or firms either gain additional

benefits or incur additional costs as a result of the action of another

person or firm, without a market transaction occurring between the

parties. A classic example of a negative externality is the reduced

catch of fishermen wrought by a polluting firm that is located

upstream. In the case of the excessively heavy trucks on Quirino, the

negative externality they wreak takes the form of a more bumpy, more

accident-prone ride by commuters negotiating Quirino Avenue because of

the greater number of potholes caused by the trucks.


The merits of these two answers notwithstanding, the question remains,

Why cannot the DPWH in its restoration of Quirino Avenue factor in the

(projected) number of private cars that use the highway and the

excessively heavy weights of the trucks so that the quality of the road

would withstand these abuses for, say, at least six years (that is,

over a presidential term)?


Not being an engineer, I do not know if in fact a six-year solution is

technically feasible, or if a technically feasible solution is within

the cost constraints of the DPWH. If it is not, it behooves the

government to endeavor to make it so.


But suppose a feasible solution exists. The question then becomes, is

it in the interest of politicians and DPWH bureaucrats and contractors

to implement the solution? The answer I hazard: Not likely, unless the

correct incentives are in place. Don’t even think graft and corruption.

Just think about the preferences of a politician. Would he prefer to

spend his infrastructure funds on some side road, when less people will

see his name emblazoned on the road work signs? Think about the

preferences of the typical urban-based bureaucrat. Would he prefer

building new roads in far-flung areas of the metropolis to restoring

the same road year in and year out? Imagine what that would mean in

terms of his travel time between the project site and his desk and of

the amenities, or their lack thereof, if the project site is in a

relatively remote place. Think about the preferences of a DPWH

contractor. Would he prefer building new roads in far-flung areas of

the metropolis to restoring the same road year in and year out? Imagine

the difficulty and increased cost of having to move his heavy equipment

to remote places.


And so unless the right incentives and disincentives are set in place,

my dire prediction is the periodic restoration of Quirino Avenue will

continue at the expense of expanding the road networks including those

that would connect urban and rural areas or that would benefit

agriculture and interisland shipping and to the anguish of us regular

road users of the oft-restored thoroughfare.


What can be done to set the incentive right?


My suggestions: Set up a Civil Society group that will play an

oversight function for the DPWH. Let the group formulate and implement

an indicator system that monitors not only the kilometers of roads

built or restored in a given period, but also how many times a

particular road has been repaired in that period. Let the indicator

system be desegregated by contractors, and award positive points to

contractors who deliver good quality projects and charge negative

points on those whose work prove inferior. Advocate that a law be

enacted that gives preferential treatment to those contractors who

deliver quality work and that levies fines on contractors whose

infrastructure projects are revealed over time to be of inferior

quality. In other words, let the contractors live or die by their

reputations. Finally, always be on the lookout to fine-tune the

incentive scheme. Regulation is a dynamic game. The regulated will

always try to find ways to get around the rules. It’s up to the

regulators to devise ways to make the incentives consistent with what’s

good for society.

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